Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Why the Libertarian vote matters

Here's an interesting analysis on the Libertarian vote by both David Boaz, Cato's executive vice president, and David Kirby, executive director of America's Future Foundation:
For those on the trail of the elusive swing voter, it may be most notable that the libertarian vote shifted sharply in 2004. Libertarians preferred George W. Bush over Al Gore by 72 to 20 percent, but Bush's margin dropped in 2004 to 59-38 over John Kerry. Congressional voting showed a similar swing from 2002 to 2004. Libertarians apparently became disillusioned with Republican overspending, social intolerance, civil liberties infringements, and the floundering war in Iraq.

The libertarian vote is in play. At some 13 percent of the electorate, it is sizable enough to swing elections. Pollsters, political strategists, candidates, and the media should take note of it.
In play indeed. Maybe Harper should start taking this constituency more seriously [here] as well, especially since non-classical liberals are trying to muscle in on this territory.

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